Warning Signals

Current Puzzles & Goals

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  • Kendall’s tau unreliable, exploring alternatives. Sliding window for identifying when warning is first detected? Goal is to detect any decrease in stability or distance from critical point?
  • Chasing down data from Scheffer. Climate data reuses the CaCO3 from Dakos.
  • Chasing down data from Dakos
  1. Fig. 1 M Cariaco Basin, data file
  2. Vostok deuterium
  3. CaCO3 data Tropical Pacific core 1218
  • Warning signals examples with actual tipping points (Figures left).

More reviews

  • JTB, but can’t comment in an open notebook.


Misc Notes ———-