Some discussion of references
- Ovaskainen O, Meerson B. Stochastic models of population extinction. Trends in Ecology & Evolution. 2010;(Box 3):1-10. Available at: https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2010.07.009.
* Goel NS, Richter-Dyn N. Stochastic Models in Biology. The Blackburn Press; 2004:269. Available at: https://www.amazon.com/Stochastic-Models-Biology-Narendra-Goel/dp/193066592X.
- Bjørnstad O, Finkenstädt B, BT. Dynamics of measles epidemics: estimating scaling of transmission rates using a time series SIR model. Ecological Monographs. 2002;72(2):169-184. Available at: https://www.esajournals.org/doi/pdf/10.1890/0012-9615(2002)072%5B0169%3ADOMEES%5D2.0.CO%3B2.
- Grenfell BT, Bjørnstad ON, Finkenstädt BF. Dynamics of measles epidemics: scaling noise, determinism, and predictability with the TSIR model. Ecological Monographs. 2002;72(2):185-202. Available at: https://www.esajournals.org/doi/pdf/10.1890/0012-9615(2002)072%5B0185%3ADOMESN%5D2.0.CO%3B2.
Update on Manuscripts
- Revisited the summary report I’d sent Alan with updates on each project. Discussed beetles project two-step process (see Grenfell references above addressing similar concerns but in discrete time).
- Focus on the warning signals paper. Aim to have the power analysis result finished by meeting next Thursday, 3pm.